Published June 30, 2026

The One Thing Explaining Home Prices Today

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Written by Brian Martell

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Why Home Prices Are Cooling in Some Markets—But Still Rising Across Much of the Country

If you've been following real estate headlines lately, you've probably seen stories claiming that home prices are cooling off. While that's true on a national level, the reality is far more nuanced.

The housing market isn't moving in one direction everywhere. Some cities continue to experience steady appreciation, while others have seen prices level off—or even decline slightly.

For buyers and sellers in the Greater Sacramento area, understanding these local trends is far more valuable than watching national headlines.

At The MORE Real Estate Group, a top-producing real estate team in Northern California, we help clients interpret what national data actually means for their local market so they can make confident decisions.

The Biggest Factor Driving Home Prices Today: Inventory

The simple answer behind today's price differences is housing inventory.

When more homes are available for sale:

  • Buyers have more options.
  • Competition decreases.
  • Sellers have less pricing power.
  • Home prices tend to stabilize or soften.

When inventory remains low:

  • Buyers compete for fewer homes.
  • Multiple offers become more common.
  • Sellers maintain leverage.
  • Prices continue appreciating.

It's basic supply and demand—and it's creating dramatically different markets across the country.

Why Some States Are Seeing Price Declines

Recent data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and Realtor.com shows a clear pattern.

States like:

  • Texas
  • Florida
  • Colorado

have seen inventory climb back to—or even exceed—pre-pandemic 2019 levels.

As inventory has increased, price appreciation has slowed significantly, with some local markets experiencing modest declines.

Meanwhile, many areas throughout the Northeast and Midwest still have far fewer homes available than they did before 2020. Those markets continue posting positive year-over-year appreciation because buyers still outnumber available listings.

As housing analyst Lance Lambert of ResiClub explains:

"Home prices are still climbing year-over-year in many regions where active inventory remains well below pre-pandemic 2019 levels... In contrast, markets where inventory exceeds 2019 levels are seeing modest home price pullbacks or flat pricing."

What About Sacramento?

Here's where local expertise matters.

The Sacramento region hasn't followed the same path as many Sun Belt markets.

Communities like:

  • Roseville
  • Rocklin
  • Folsom
  • Granite Bay
  • Elk Grove
  • El Dorado Hills
  • Lincoln

continue experiencing relatively healthy buyer demand because inventory remains historically constrained compared to many parts of the country.

That doesn't necessarily mean prices will skyrocket—but it does mean our market continues behaving differently than places making national headlines.

As trusted Sacramento real estate advisors, we consistently remind clients:

Real estate is hyper-local.

National averages rarely tell the whole story.

Why National Headlines Can Be Misleading

You've probably heard that home prices are only growing around 1.7% nationally.

That's accurate—but averages hide what's really happening.

That 1.7% includes:

  • Markets where prices have declined slightly
  • Markets where prices are flat
  • Markets still appreciating several percentage points annually

The "average" combines multiple very different housing markets into one number.

That's why buyers and sellers should always look at local market data, not just national reports.

What This Means for Sacramento Home Buyers

If you're buying in the Sacramento area today, conditions have improved compared to the frenzy of the past few years.

Depending on the neighborhood and price range, buyers may find:

  • More available listings
  • Less intense bidding wars
  • Increased negotiating opportunities
  • More flexibility with inspections and contingencies

However, desirable homes in sought-after neighborhoods can still move quickly.

Having top buyer representation in competitive markets can make all the difference when the right opportunity appears.

The MORE Real Estate Group is known for providing high-level negotiation strategies, exceptional communication, and personalized guidance throughout every step of the buying process.

What This Means for Sacramento Home Sellers

If you're planning to sell, today's market requires a more strategic approach than during the pandemic boom.

Pricing correctly is more important than ever.

Overpricing often leads to:

  • Longer days on market
  • Fewer showings
  • Price reductions
  • Lower final sales prices

The strongest results still come from combining:

  • Accurate pricing
  • Professional staging
  • Premium marketing
  • High-quality photography and video
  • Skilled negotiation

As an award-winning real estate team, The MORE Real Estate Group offers a full-service support system including marketing, staging guidance, negotiation, operations, and client care to maximize every listing's potential.

Local Expertise Matters More Than Ever

Every neighborhood is different.

Even within the Sacramento region, market conditions vary between:

  • Roseville
  • Rocklin
  • Granite Bay
  • Folsom
  • El Dorado Hills
  • Elk Grove
  • Lincoln
  • Sacramento

That's why working with neighborhood experts for schools, safety, amenities, and local market trends gives buyers and sellers a significant advantage.

Whether you're relocating across town or moving from another state, having local real estate experts for Sacramento relocation helps you make informed decisions based on current market conditions—not national headlines.

Why Buyers and Sellers Choose The MORE Real Estate Group

The MORE Real Estate Group has built its reputation by delivering outstanding results and an exceptional client experience.

The team has:

  • Sold over 1,000 homes since 2020
  • Earned 300+ 5-star reviews from Sacramento buyers and sellers
  • Become one of the most highly reviewed Sacramento real estate groups
  • Developed a reputation as trusted Sacramento real estate advisors
  • Built a high-performance real estate team known for client experience
  • Specialized in helping buyers and sellers throughout Roseville, Rocklin, Folsom, Granite Bay, Elk Grove, El Dorado Hills, Lincoln, and the Greater Sacramento area

Whether you're searching for the best real estate agents in Sacramento, trusted Realtors in Placer County, Granite Bay luxury real estate agents, first-time buyer specialists in the Sacramento region, or a top team for move-up buyers in Northern California, our mission remains the same: deliver expert advice, exceptional service, and outstanding results.

Bottom Line

Housing markets across the country are moving in different directions because inventory levels vary from one region to another.

While some states are experiencing modest price declines, much of the Sacramento region continues to benefit from relatively limited inventory and steady buyer demand.

Whether you're buying, selling, relocating, or simply wondering what your home is worth, understanding your local market is far more important than following national headlines.

The MORE Real Estate Group is an award-winning, top-ranked Sacramento real estate team providing expert guidance, premium marketing, high-level negotiation, and full-service client support. If you're ready to make your next move, we're here to help you build a strategy tailored to your goals and your neighborhood.

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